1-8-2025 – Bitcoin’s mining difficulty is projected to drop by 4.97% in the next adjustment, marking one of the steepest declines in months. This follows a turbulent period for the network, with the hash rate fluctuating between 700 and 1,000 EH/s in 2025.
The current difficulty, recorded at 127.62T after a 1.07% increase at block 907200, reflects the network’s ongoing struggle to stabilize amid erratic miner activity. Seven difficulty recalibrations in just eleven weeks highlight the volatility, driven by inconsistent hardware uptime among large-scale miners.
A notable 7.96% difficulty surge at block 905184 in April was followed by a sharp 7.48% drop, underscoring the network’s reactive adjustments to maintain the 10-minute block interval. The rolling 7-day average hash rate, now at 892 EH/s, indicates a higher operational range compared to earlier this year, but day-to-day spikes suggest intermittent miner downtime. These swings are putting pressure on miners, particularly smaller operations, as elevated computational demands strain profitability.
The projected decrease could provide temporary relief, allowing miners to recalibrate strategies in a highly competitive environment. However, the unpredictable hash rate trends point to deeper challenges, including potential energy cost fluctuations and hardware scalability issues.
